Binomial properties

The binomial distribution counts successes in nn independent trials. Here we'll explore its key properties.

The shape of the binomial

The shape of a binomial distribution depends on pp:

What do you think?
For Bin(20, 0.8), will the distribution be symmetric, left-skewed, or right-skewed?
Binomial PMF Explorer
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
130
0.10.50.9
Mean
5.0
Std Dev
1.58
Mode
5
Symmetric distribution centered at n/2

Try adjusting nn and pp in the explorer above. Notice how:

  • When p=0.5p = 0.5, the distribution is symmetric
  • When p<0.5p < 0.5, it's right-skewed (tail extends right)
  • When p>0.5p > 0.5, it's left-skewed (tail extends left)

As nn increases, the binomial becomes more bell-shaped, approaching the normal distribution. Try n=30 with p=0.5!

Why E[X] = np

Where does the expected value formula come from?

Deriving E[X] = np
X=X1+X2++XnX = X_1 + X_2 + \cdots + X_n
A binomial is a sum of n independent Bernoulli trials.
Step 1 of 3

We didn't need any complicated calculations. A binomial is just a sum of Bernoullis.

Adding binomials together

What happens when we add two independent binomial random variables?

What do you think?
Exam 1: guess on 10 questions (p=0.25). Exam 2: guess on 15 questions (same p). Total correct guesses follows which distribution?
Sum of Binomials

If XBin(n,p)X \sim \text{Bin}(n, p) and YBin(m,p)Y \sim \text{Bin}(m, p) are independent, then: X+YBin(n+m,p)X + Y \sim \text{Bin}(n + m, p)

This makes intuitive sense: nn trials plus mm more trials equals n+mn + m trials total.

Sum of Bernoullis
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Number of heads (out of 10)

Cumulative probabilities

Often we want P(Xk)P(X \leq k) or P(Xk)P(X \geq k), not just P(X=k)P(X = k).

What do you think?
In 20 fair coin flips, is getting ≤5 heads likely or unlikely?

To calculate cumulative probabilities, we sum the individual probabilities:

P(Xk)=i=0kP(X=i)=i=0k(ni)pi(1p)niP(X \leq k) = \Large\sum_{i=0}^{k} P(X = i) = \Large\sum_{i=0}^{k} \binom{n}{i} p^i (1-p)^{n-i}

For Bin(10, 0.5), P(X ≥ 8) equals P(X ≤ ?) by symmetry (whole number)

When to use the binomial

The binomial distribution applies when you have:

  1. Fixed number of trials nn
  2. Independence: each trial doesn't affect others
  3. Same probability pp for each trial
  4. Binary outcomes: success or failure

If you're sampling without replacement from a finite population, the trials are not independent. Use the Hypergeometric distribution instead!

Test your understanding — can you identify which scenarios are truly Binomial?

Binomial or Not?
Question 1 of 10Score: 0 / 0

Survey 100 people and ask if they support a policy (yes/no).

① Fixed number of trials n② Binary outcomes (success/failure)③ Same probability p each trial④ Independent trials

Practice problems

For Bin(40, 0.3), what's E[X]? (whole number)
For Bin(100, 0.2), what's Var(X)? (whole number)
What's the standard deviation of Bin(100, 0.2)? (whole number)

What's next

What if we're sampling from a finite population without replacement? Then each draw changes the probabilities for future draws. That's the Hypergeometric distribution, coming up next.