Binomial properties
The binomial distribution counts successes in independent trials. Here we'll explore its key properties.
The shape of the binomial
The shape of a binomial distribution depends on :
Try adjusting and in the explorer above. Notice how:
- When , the distribution is symmetric
- When , it's right-skewed (tail extends right)
- When , it's left-skewed (tail extends left)
As increases, the binomial becomes more bell-shaped, approaching the normal distribution. Try n=30 with p=0.5!
Why E[X] = np
Where does the expected value formula come from?
We didn't need any complicated calculations. A binomial is just a sum of Bernoullis.
Adding binomials together
What happens when we add two independent binomial random variables?
If and are independent, then:
This makes intuitive sense: trials plus more trials equals trials total.
Cumulative probabilities
Often we want or , not just .
To calculate cumulative probabilities, we sum the individual probabilities:
When to use the binomial
The binomial distribution applies when you have:
- Fixed number of trials
- Independence: each trial doesn't affect others
- Same probability for each trial
- Binary outcomes: success or failure
If you're sampling without replacement from a finite population, the trials are not independent. Use the Hypergeometric distribution instead!
Test your understanding — can you identify which scenarios are truly Binomial?
Survey 100 people and ask if they support a policy (yes/no).
Practice problems
What's next
What if we're sampling from a finite population without replacement? Then each draw changes the probabilities for future draws. That's the Hypergeometric distribution, coming up next.